Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 209.894634 235.551485 263.852009 297.513126 336.624983 380.836257 434.873443
2025-04-13 164.243065 196.412037 234.824049 284.546520 347.900539 426.872937 534.270982
2025-04-20 148.178818 184.900807 231.172562 294.708077 381.193840 497.083263 668.110867
2025-04-27 137.527086 177.665538 230.533349 306.815645 416.719400 573.663558 823.081395
2025-05-04 125.604952 166.807597 223.042495 307.535434 435.155209 627.515217 953.584389
2025-05-11 113.504914 154.151341 211.261685 299.993484 439.440500 659.567093 1054.350735
2025-05-18 103.886124 143.917830 201.640816 294.078429 444.719547 692.949076 1162.581782
2025-05-25 99.408156 140.613015 201.674102 302.665178 473.834313 769.512341 1363.474985
2025-06-01 93.281645 134.237608 196.323927 301.832681 486.730244 819.402391 1523.942504
2025-06-08 86.870648 126.868411 188.698828 296.276422 490.408516 852.590671 1657.252487
2025-06-15 82.432253 122.197994 184.904508 296.675854 504.603518 907.583732 1849.934151
2025-06-22 77.160467 115.800809 177.744539 290.407155 505.434977 935.944162 1988.439839
2025-06-29 73.122211 111.221941 173.408439 289.054881 516.158822 987.782105 2200.980688
2025-07-06 67.451480 103.602109 163.387624 276.400409 503.071290 986.877394 2280.594514
2025-07-13 66.060900 103.000067 165.341670 286.220212 536.847350 1095.614581 2686.524876
2025-07-20 65.027773 102.907397 168.140097 297.895553 576.153450 1225.053822 3199.091519
2025-07-27 62.436464 99.936131 165.523674 298.589885 591.575014 1299.629868 3572.378358
2025-08-03 58.941795 95.162349 159.267277 291.316514 588.064779 1325.530062 3796.081692
2025-08-10 55.931176 91.075059 154.006654 285.611060 587.470324 1359.115328 4060.102522
2025-08-17 54.934997 90.539950 155.366396 293.893232 621.145591 1492.904055 4750.226612
2025-08-24 52.882548 87.954397 152.618565 293.090351 632.547887 1566.292814 5240.992793
2025-08-31 50.437950 84.511417 147.981999 287.731279 631.819558 1603.940981 5601.617650
2025-09-07 48.806643 82.494145 146.010359 288.116563 645.926349 1689.998802 6222.026327